Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

You know how they say when planning your wedding-- 25% to 35% of the guest list won't come.

I am putting together my list for Sasha's bday and trying to get a sense of how many people I will actually have.

I will also say that not everyone is totally local, and where I live (and where the party is) is kinda a PITA to get to since you have to drive through Manhattan for anyone who lives in NY-- which bascially is my whole guest list except for local mommy friends.

Re: Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

in my case, i certainly HOPE so lol
I cant afford to have as many people as i invited loll

Re: Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

Feb birthday here as well and Im thinking the weather is not going to help us either Sorry to be debbie downer!

I will say that I think people make more of an effort when it is a 1st birthday. We live upstate by Saratoga and we have travelled for family 1st birthday parties to manhattan & LI

Re: Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

I hope so!! Our invite list is over 100!! Hoping for 60 hahaha.

Re: Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

I think it also depends on the time of year

I had DS baptism in July and many people were in vacation

Also--DS#1 bday is in May (communion time) so I have lots of declines for that reason

Re: Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

OK-- so, I am safe to assume that at least 25% won't come-- with the fact it's:

1. Feb

2. at 11 in the morning (harder for those traveling a bit further)

3. AND Superbowl Sunday.

Cause I have about 67 adults and 20ish kids.

Re: Do you think the 25% to 35% decline rate is true for bday parties?

Would like to see that is true...DS Birthday party is tomorrow and we only had 3 people who RSVP that they will not be able to come.