The storm about to hit Monday into Tuesday (UPDATE MON 3PM)

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Member since 5/06

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Kelly

The storm about to hit Monday into Tuesday (UPDATE MON 3PM)

Not really a massive deal, but with mixed precipitation, it sucks. So commutes can be ugly, but you don't have to worry about shoveling out of massive amounts of snow.

-What do I need to be worried about?
Timing of the freezing precipitation.

-Why do I need to worry about that?
Have you ever driven on a sheet of ice?

-Do I need to call in sick?
Whatever

-Will my flights be canceled?
Do I look like I work for the airlines?

-What is mixed precip?
Sleet or freezing rain, some rain, some snow. Just a crappy mess of goo and frozen goo.

-What is freezing rain?
The worst thing possible for driving. In essence: it falls as rain, then immediately freezes on any surface (mainly roads and cars) This gives a slippery, shiny, slick surface of ice. If you follow hockey: Think about what the zamboni does between periods.

-What is sleet?
Frozen pellets that typically bounce when they fall. THIS IS NOT HAIL! Hail comes from Severe thunderstorms. Do not confuse the two. They are made differently.

-When is this hitting?
Precipitation moves into the region around midnight Monday night. Chances are good it will start as snow, since temps should still be cold. As the overnight progresses, the temps are expected to rise. Here is the rest for your area, straight from the National Weather Service:

"LIKELY CHANGE PRECIP TO A MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME DURING THE MORNING. WITH WARM
AIR REMAINING ALOFT AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE...FROZEN PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN
TUESDAY MORNING...FIRST OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE
REGION...NJ/NYC/LONG ISLAND...AND GRADUALLY WORKING ITS WAY NORTH
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES CONTINUE WITH EXACTLY
HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WARM UP...AND
THEREFORE THE EXACT LOCATION AND DURATION OF SNOWFALL/MIXED
PRECIP. WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...EXPECTING AROUND AN INCH OR AN
INCH AND A HALF OF SNOW NEAR NYC...LESS THAN ONE INCH OVER LI AND
COASTAL CT...AND POSSIBLE ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL OVER THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS NORTH
OF NEW YORK CITY...BUT HERE ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TO BE LESS
THAN 1/4 OF AN INCH."

Let me know what your questions are about the above paragraph. To me it seems clear, but I am sure there are many things in English, Politics and History that seem to clear to you that I haven't a clue what you are talking about. The way it looks now: The areas north of the city could see the heaviest ice accumulation and/or possible snowfall.

Here are your maps to look at. Yes, more than one because it isn't just snow:
(I know you come to rely on these and I like that you are all becoming mini meteorologists)

KEEP CHECKING BACK HERE ON MONDAY TO SEE HOW THE TOTALS HAVE CHANGED. ALL DEPENDS ON TRACK OF THE STORM!

TOTAL SNOWFALL:
External Image

TOTAL ICE:

TOTAL PRECIPITATION: (Melted Snow+Melted Ice+Rain)

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UPDATE MONDAY AFTERNOON:

BE VERY CAREFUL IF YOU LIVE IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS!!!!!!!! (Not Long Island, but the rest of you can have an ice problem.) Anything more than 1/4 inch of ice is BAD!!!!!!!! Tuesday does not look good!

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Message edited 1/17/2011 3:00:51 PM.

Posted 1/16/11 9:39 PM